The people of Gilgit-Baltistan went to the polls on November 15, 2020 to elect their representatives for 231 seats of the Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly. Braving harsh weather conditions in some areas and low temperatures in others, a high number of men and women in diverse regions cradled by the world’s highest mountain ranges turned out to vote in the third consecutive general elections to the Assembly, expressing their support for democracy and political stability.

Coming on the heels of a constitutional amendment to grant Gilgit-Baltistan the status of provisional province, the impressive participation of people in the November 15 election was a reinforcement of their expression of the desire to be part of the Pakistani federation. More than 60 percent of registered voters turned out to vote, according to provisional results of 20 constituencies that have been received so far.

Although required by the law, the Returning Officers (ROs) did not provide gender disaggregated turnout data in seven of the 20 constituencies (one-third or 35 percent) for which the provisional results are available. In the other 13 where the ROs did provide this information on Form 47 (Provisional Consolidated Results of the Statement of the Count) female voter turnout was 53.8 percent as compared to 59.6 percent of male voters.Gender disaggregated turnout data is not available for GBA-8 Skardu-II, GBA-9 Skardu-III, GBA-12 Shigar, GBA-13 Astore-I, GBA-15 Diamir-I, GBA-17 DiamirIII, which may prevent the Election Commission of Gilgit-Baltistan (ECGB) from implementing the provisions of Section 9(1) of the Elections Act, 2017 requiring re-polling in one or more polling stations or the entire constituency if female turnout is less than 10 percent of the total votes polled in that constituency. Although observers of the Free and Fair Election Network (FAFEN) did not report any restriction to women’s voting, female turnout remained significantly low in at least two constituencies, namely GBA-16 Diamir-II and GBA-18 Diamir-IV. This may have been due to cultural factors that need to be addressed through long-term engagement with communities by ECGB, political parties and civil society organizations. In addition, the ECGB may take special measures for women voter education and registration as required by Sections 12 (c) and 47 of the Elections Act, 2017.

A vibrant and competitive election campaign by all major parties and independent candidates turned intense and heated towards the end over the controversy of federal minsters running election campaigns in violation of legal limits. As many as 320 candidates including four women – 127 representing 16 political parties and 200 independent candidates – were contesting in 23 constituencies. Nevertheless, the election day remained largely peaceful with no major incidents of violence reported from anywhere in the region throughout the day. However, a few incidents of protests and violence were reported from some constituencies of Gilgit, Ghanche, Ghizer and Diamer due to the delay in the release of results.

The election day was generally orderly, with voting and counting processes at the polling stations conducted mostly according to the law and prescribed rules, though the legally mandatory provision of Form 45 (the Result of the Count) to polling agents was reported to have not been fully ensured by the presiding officers. Election officials at polling stations appeared well-versed with the provisions of the Elections Act, 2017, which Gilgit-Baltistan had adopted for these elections. Impressively, the ECGB mostly ensured the enforcement of the law’s ban against campaigning and canvassing on election day. Fewer than one-third of the observed polling stations had camps set up by political parties and independent candidates for wooing voters.

However, not all polling stations completely followed the prescribed procedure. Observers deployed by FAFEN reported an average of around three illegalities or irregularities per polling station. These included breach of the secrecy of the vote, stamping of ballots by others on behalf of voters, and voters registered at the polling stations turned away for various reasons despite having their National Identity Cards (NICs). Such issues could have been avoided with more diligent enforcement by ECGB. In addition, instances of allocation of more than the legally prescribed number of voters per polling booth led to over-crowding and disorder at some polling stations.
Similarly, the ECGB did not consistently ensure the provision of Form 45 (the Result of the Count) and Form 46 (the Ballot Paper Account) to all polling agents present at the polling stations during the vote counting process, which would have helped to enhance the integrity of the election results management. The problem was largely due to insufficient numbers of these forms available at the polling stations. Resultantly, the presiding officers had to issue polling stations’ results to the polling agents on plain papers under their stamps and signatures, the legality of which has yet to be established.

The voting and counting processes were mostly transparent, with FAFEN observers reporting the presence of polling agents of major political parties and independent candidates in most polling stations. However, instances of polling agents seated at a place from where they could not observe the voting process was reported from six constituencies. More serious are reports that candidates and their agents were barred from ROs’ offices during the preparation of the preliminary results in at least three constituencies, and delays in the release of provisional results on Form-47 (Provisional Consolidated Statement of Results of the Count) in more than 10 constituencies. These problems shaped the political discourse on an otherwise orderly and peaceful electoral exercise conducted according to the law, which requires finalization of provisional results by 2:00 am on the day following the polling. These issues also caused major political contenders to question the credibility of the outcome and to raise allegations of electoral fraud. Many of these issues, however, could have been addressed by the Chief Election Commissioner (CEC) using his clearly defined powers under Sections 4(3)2, 8(b)3, 9(1)4 and 95(6)5 of the Elections Act, 2017 in order to strengthen the confidence of electoral contenders in the integrity of the process.

FAFEN observers faced almost no restrictions to their observation of the voting process at the start of the day, but encountered challenges particularly in Skardu for the observation of the counting process. Major contending parties promptly called upon the ECGB to ensure that independent observers were allowed to view the counting processes, as permitted by law, as a perquisite for the integrity of the election outcome. Timely directions issued by the ECGB to the relevant District Returning Officers (DROs) ensured the presence of FAFEN observes at the counting process in most locations. Presiding officers disallowed FAFEN observers from observing the vote count at the polling stations in fewer than 10 instances.

Media and other observer groups were also allowed to cover and observe the proceedings on election day, with no incidences of restrictions reported. However, the ECGB could have released election results progressively as they were received from the polling stations to ensure that the media reported accurate official results promptly, instead of using a parallel system to gather information and report unofficial and potentially unreliable results. Incoherence in tallies of vote count by media and at the offices of the ROs created confusions that may be clarified after the release of official results as well as publication of all Forms 45 and 46 within 14 days of the day of the poll on the ECGB website as required by Section 95(10) of the Elections Act, 2017.

FAFEN trained and deployed 529 non-partisan observers, including 496 election day observes and 33 long-term observers (LTOs). Almost 30 percent of FAFEN observers were women. This preliminary report is based on the summary observation of 436 polling stations observed in 23 constituencies, more than 37 percent of 1,137 polling stations – 385 male, 386 female and 402 combined.

The report can be accessed here.

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Free and Fair Election Network (FAFEN) observers reported a low incidence of irregularities in the constituency’s election compared to general elections, except illegal campaigning and canvassing witnessed going unchecked in around two-thirds of monitored polling stations in the constituency. The monitors reported this problem from less than one-third of polling stations during general elections.

FAFEN deployed 22 trained, non-partisan, and duly accredited observers, including six women, to observe the constituency’s election. This report comprises information received from 35 (48%) out of 73 polling stations on Election Day. The actual number of observed polling stations will be higher. The constituency went to the polls a week later than the general elections due to the legally necessitated postponement caused by a validly nominated candidate’s death on October 10, 2020.

A total of 15 candidates contested the election in this constituency on November 22, 2020, of which eight were independent, while the remaining seven represented political parties. Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) candidate Syed Sohail Abbass returned to the constituency securing 6,815 or 26% of the total valid polled votes while an independent candidate Muhammad Iqbal finished runner-up getting 4,872 (18.3%) votes. Around 66 percent voters exercised their right to vote, while the percentage of the ballots excluded from the count remained 2.5% (666 votes).

Interestingly, the female turnout also remained almost equal to that of men against general elections, where female turnout remained lower by six percentage points.

ECGB had set up 73 polling stations—31 male, 35 female, and seven combined—for election in the constituency. These stations comprised 81 male and 69 female polling booths. On average, each polling station had 566 voters and 276 voters to each polling booth, well within the preferred legal limit of 1,200 voters per polling station and 300 per polling booth.

Campaigning and Canvassing: The ECGB’s code of conduct for contesting candidates and political parties prohibits the candidates or their supporters from the exhibition of campaign material in or outside the polling station. It also bars persuading voters on polling day and establish camps beyond 400 meters in rural areas and 100 meters in densely populated urban areas from the polling stations. FAFEN observers noted party camps’ presence in the prohibited limits of 23 out of 35 observed polling stations. They also reported seeing campaign material of candidates or political parties inside six polling stations. Besides, the observers noted three instances of political workers found persuading the voters.

Voting Process: FAFEN’s observers reported that secrecy screens at three polling booths in three polling stations allowed the individuals present inside the booths to see the voters marking their ballot papers. Authorized polling agents, the candidates’ representatives permitted to witness the polling process and object to any irregularity as defined under the law, were seated appropriately at polling booths of 34 polling stations. They could see the entire polling process firsthand. However, the polling agents’ seating arrangement at one polling station did not enable them to see the polling process correctly. The voting manner was quite organized at almost all polling stations, while the observers reported the security officials’ behavior with voters also satisfactory. The voters overall expressed satisfaction with the voting process.

The majority (33) of the observed polling stations had long queues. At 29 polling stations, the authorities had set up more than one booth in a single room for voters. The observers reported non-compliance of COVID-19 prevention SOPs at four polling stations, while 27 followed them partially, and four adhered to the SOPs completely. The observers reported a scarcity of election material at four polling stations. They recorded 13 instances of polling staff not allowing voters to cast votes, mainly for not having NICs and votes not registered at the visited polling station.

FAFEN observers recorded six instances at the observed polling stations where persons other than voters, including polling agents, stamped the ballots. Moreover, they reported three cases of unauthorized individuals accompanying voters behind the screen.

The monitors reported no major incident of violence inside or outside the polling station on the day.

Counting Process: FAFEN observers witnessed the counting process at 16 polling stations. Of these monitored polling stations, the presiding officers (PrOs) handed over the copy of Form-45 to polling agents at 14 polling stations. Likewise, a copy of Form 45 was given to observers at 11 polling stations, while PrOs at five polling stations refused to do so. The observers reported that the PrOs did not paste the copies of the Form-45 outside six polling stations.

To download the report. Click here

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